The constant support of the people that claim over the Modi government is shattered after the second wave of the global pandemic. The people that have seen demonetization of the country, the protests against the Citizenship Amendment Act, the strict lockdown to prevent the spread of Covid-19 last year, the farmer’s protests against new agricultural laws, and the border crisis with China are not willing to stay loyal to the prime minister after the incompetency shown by the central government in handling the crisis.
The citizens of the country no longer trust in the decisions made by the PM. Unlike demonetization in 2016 or the implementation of the goods and service tax in 2017, the focus of public criticism has not just been on Modi’s competence but his very intentions. In the previous years, the people of the country have shown complete loyalty to obey every law of PM Modi. even though there were many discrepancies the people judged him for his pure intentions as well as his visions and not his implementation…
After the recent Bengal elections, Modi is being portrayed as this crazy neglecting politician using his power over the citizens of the country. This totally damaged his image of being the savior, who does not abuse his power and does the best for his people.
The pain and suffering of Indians during the above-mentioned events have softened Modi’s politics into a sacrifice for the nation. This led to restraint in Indian politics, starting from the time of Mahatma Gandhi who preached that no freedom was possible without tyag also known as sacrifice.
To check his political support the major test would be the Uttar Pradesh assembly elections next year. This would be the most consequential election of the second Modi term. According to the recent panchayat elections, the BJP is not as powerful in Uttar Pradesh as it was earlier. No official government has returned to power in Uttar Pradesh since 1989 and the BJP would likely need Modi’s appeal to make this happen.
A loss in UP would be a crushing blow for BJP, unlike Bengal. This is a state where the BJP holds more than a three-fourth majority. This is also home to the prime minister’s constituency and which is ruled by the premier Hindutva icon after Modi. The chances of the Modi government at the Centre returning to power in 2024 would then be reduced to a much lower probability. The media would then mold their behavior to fit the weakened state of the government.
Though the Uttar Pradesh elections are still a year away, an eternity in Indian politics. Therefore, the center has to walk on eggshells and take a healthy dose of caution for the upcoming year.